• Nilanjan Guha Majumder

How Deadly IS COVID-19 Really?

Updated: Jul 7

If you tell me that I am tall, you must be comparing my height with something or someone, before deciding that I am tall.

What you meant to say was that I am taller than Ujjwal, or I am taller than average Indian guys - right?

That’s probably called perspective.

And in the same way, I may be obese on Earth, but low on weight on the Moon.


My point is, when we use an adjective, we should understand that it’s not an absolute reality, and it changes with the perspective.


Therefore, as most of us have been using, or thinking, the word “deadly” for the COVID-19 situation, we must know why we are using the word, against which perspective.


There can be multiple perspectives in any scenarios, but I am going to talk only about the “dead” part of the word “deadly” in this article, regarding COVID-19 situation.


I did a sample data collection from WHO website, and brought up a graphical representation for the death % due to COVID-19, as recorded.


Death % Comparison - Confirmed Cases vs. Total Population

I have considered the death rate (%) here, out of the confirmed cases (reported COVID positive) and out of the total population of those countries.


If you take a look in this graph, the average death rate out of the confirmed cases is around 1.79%, and that rate out of the total population is 0.06%.

Now, while every death is a loss, and/or a sad incident for a certain group of people, it’s inevitable too, whichever way it comes. A death by car accident, or a fatal disease, or a landslide, or a war - all are deaths.

However, when you have to measure something, for many different purposes, you have to be objective, and make decisions with data and logic, not by emotions.

In the case of COVID-19, as there are individual losses, there is something called collective data as well, at the social level. And we need to look at the data to decide whether we say this situation a “deadly” one - shouldn’t we?


So, we need to take a look at the data here, and think whether this is really deadly - not emotionally from a personal level, but at a social/national/international level.


At the last, I want to leave a thought for you all.


A few countries (China, NZ) have higher death rate among the confirmed cases but very low death rate among the total population. It probably means that although the infection was more powerful, but the spread was contained quickly, either by good planning or naturally.


And there are countries (Italy, Brazil) where both the death rates are on the higher side, probably indicating that the spread was not contained effectively.


And oh, Greenland doesn't have a single death due to COVID-19 infection.

Does it ring a bell in your head?


I will leave it to you, for your research and logical analysis.


Note: I will bring up more perspectives in a few more articles. Soon!

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